Engage or become irrelevant

Crowd being turned back at Coliseum (LOC)
Image by The Library of Congress via Flickr

Friday and Saturday last week I had the privilege of attending the first Sage Congress. Hopefully this will be the first in a series of posts that cover that meeting because there is simply so much to think about and so much to just get on and do.

This is not a post about public engagement work by scientists. It is not about going to schools and giving talks. It is not about engaging with the main stream media to present your work to the great unwashed. It is about engaging with the people who will be driving your research agenda within ten years, about how the way researchers connect with society will be changed over the next decade whether they like it or not. The aim of Sage Bionetworks, the wider Sage Commons, and its constituent projects is nothing less than to change the pace at which medical research operates. An aim that was put forward seriously as a twelve month goal in one of our breakouts was to document three use cases where information from the Sage Commons had made a difference to a patient. The scientific details are perhaps less important than the delivery plan; an open plaform for laboratory and clinical data, linked to detailed models that explain that data, and ultimately to tools for clinical staff and laboratory scientists to use and crucially to contribute back to where appropriate.

As you might expect expect the meeting included scientists, technologists, policy people, funders and publishers. It also included a significant number of patient advocates and by the end of the meeting, for me at least, they were at the core the project. This might not be surprising if it were just as motivation for getting things done. Josh Sommer‘s enormously powerful talk was pitched perfectly to spur the group to action. I cannot do it justice, but will link to the video when it is available. But that was only half the story. The second half was when these same patient advocates got up at the synthesis session at the end of the meeting to say they had formed their own workstream. Their aim? To get Stephen on Oprah. Again publicity and information for “the public”, support perhaps and help in fundraising. But to focus on that is still to miss the point.

A second hand conversation was related to me in which a major agency representative had said “we will never make data public”. I have sympathy for this view. Such agencies need to protect their standards, and this includes an absolute adherence to privacy policies and validated ethical procedures. But contrast that with the talk from Anne Wojcicki talking about how 23andMe get enormous response rates on questionaires containing deeply personal questions where the aggregate information will be made public. Contrast it with the talk from Rob Epstein of Medco talking about cold calling patients to ask if they would be willing to contribute to rapid testing programmes to see whether genotyping can reduce hospitalizations caused by warfarin. And contrast it with Josh Sommer’s work with the Chordoma Foundation, Gilles Frydman‘s with ACOR and the Society for Participatory Medicine, or the many other examples at the congress; services like Patients Like Me where patients want to push data out, both because they get valuable information back for themselves and because they want to make a difference. We are rapidly moving towards a world where networks of patients might refuse to sign up for trials that don’t commit to making the data publicly available.

People like me tend to advocate getting funders to push for policy change, because they hold the pursestrings and are best placed to push through change. One thing we’ve often forgotten is that they are simply intermediaries. They are not the real funders, and they don’t provide the only form of funding. Increasingly they don’t hold the real power either. In clinical research the patients involved are directly funding your work as well as indirectly through their taxes or charitable donations. They are perhaps the biggest funders of medical research; donating their time and hard won information about their state of health. They are also the most effective advocates of that research. The engagment group at the congress didn’t stand up and say “we want to help”, they stood up to say “you need us to succeed in your aims”.

What projects like GalaxyZoo show us is that when you effectively enable an engaged portion of the wider community to contribute to your research that you can increase the pace by orders of magnitude. “The public” is not some homogeneous group of barbarians at the gate of our ivory towers. They are a diverse group, many of them interested in what researchers do; many of them passionately interested in some specific thing for a wide range of different reasons. In a world where the web enables access and communication, and enables those with common interests to find each other, people who are passionately interested in what you are doing are going to be increasingly unimpressed if avenues are unavailable for them to follow and contribute. And funders, including those ultimate funders, are going to be increasingly unimpressed if you don’t effectively tap into that resource.

The need to actively engage with, not at, the wider community as active contributors is shifting the balance of power in research, probably irrevocably. I think that is probably a good thing.

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Why a 25% risk of developing Parkinson’s really does matter

There has been a lot of commentary around the blogosphere about Sergey Brin’s blog post in which he announced that his SNP profile includes one variant which significantly increases his risk of developing Parkinson’s disease. The mainstream media seem mostly to be desperately concerned about the potential for the ignorant masses to be misinformed about what the results of such tests would mean and the potential for people to make unfortunate decisions based on them (based on that argument I’m not sure why we are allowed to have either credit cards or mortgages but never mind). The other, related stream, which is found more online is that this is all a bit meaningless because the correlation between the SNPs 23andMe measure and any disease (or indeed any phenotype) are weak so it’s not like he knows he’s going to get it – why not get a proper test for a proper genetic disease?

I think this is missing the point – and I think in fact, his post could represent the beginning of a significant change to the landscape of medical funding – precisely because that correlation is weak.

In the western world we have been talking for decades about how ‘prevention is better than cure’ yet funding for disease prevention has always remained poor. It’s not sexy, it is often long term, and it is much harder to get people to donate money for it.  Rich people donate money because relatives, or they themselves, are already ill. They are looking for a cure, or at least a legacy of helping people in the same situation.

The Health Commons project run by Science Commons has as its aim the reduction of the transactional costs involved in getting to a drug. If you can drop the cost of making a cure for a disease from $1B to $1M you have many orders of magnitude more people who can afford to just ‘buy a cure’ for a loved one, themselves, or to make themselves feel better.  This vision, and what it does to global health, even if the success rates are relatively low, is immensely powerful. And it needn’t apply just to drugs, or to cures.

But Brin doesn’t want a cure necessarily. Actually that’s not true – I’m sure he does, his mother has Parkinson’s and his great aunt suffered from it as well. Anyone who has seen someone suffer from a degenerative disease would want a cure. But equally, he’s a smart guy and knows just how tough that will be, and how much money is already going into such things.  But he can now look at his genetic profile now and look at which diseases he is predisposed to get. He can look at which of those he is really worried about. And then he can dig into his pocket and decide what the most efficient use of his $15B fortune is. Sure he will put millions into developing treatments, but the smart money will go on research into prevention or slowing onset. He has the time before any likely onset to allow programmes on prevention to run for 10-20 years before he will need to take a best guess on implementation.

And the point is that there will be a growing number of people having only the probabilities based on SNP data to work on making similar judgements about a range of diseases. And don’t believe that if we have full genome sequences those probabilities will get any better either. More precise yes. Better linked to phenotype? Not for a while yet. People who get these tests done don’t know exactly what they will get, but they have an idea, and they might have that idea up to 50 years in advance. Now consider what happens if the costs of developing methods to prevent or delay onset drops to the point that millionaires can make an impact. A thousand or maybe a miillion-fold more people with a deep interest in preventing the onset of specific diseases, an understanding of risk-based investment, and the money and the time to do something about it.

Preventative medicine just became the biggest growth area in medical research.

p.s. Attilla gets it – he’s just thinking regenerative rather than preventative – maybe they are the same thing in the end?